Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Imaginery Inflaton?

Read from another blog:

The BLS reported that prices rose modestly in April, below consensus expectations.

The usually Bullish Michael T. Darda of MKM Partners was rather skeptical of the data:
From the CPI report, “In April, the index for petroleum-based energy fell 1.6%, offsetting a 2.5% increase in the index for energy services. The transportation index declined 0.7% in April, reflecting a 2.0% decrease in the index for gasoline.” And to top it off, the index of commodity prices rose just 0.1%.





Huh? Gasoline prices rose by about 10% in April. Virtually every index of commodity prices is near all-time highs (and up about 30% since the beginning of the year). I’m not sure what the BLS is smoking here, but it must be pretty strong stuff.

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